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Lesson 4 of 6Ideas and Opportunities for New Ventures
Unit 2 · Lesson 4 of 6

Marketing Research: Is There Demand?

Primary research (surveys, observation, interviews, focus groups, test sales) and secondary research (Statistics Canada, city hall, chambers of commerce, school boards, industry reports) reveal the target market and let you estimate demand.

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Key things to remember

  1. 1Primary research is collected by you for your question (surveys, observation, interviews, focus groups, test sales). Secondary research was collected by someone else (Statistics Canada, city hall, chamber of commerce, school board, industry reports).
  2. 2Good survey questions are neutral, ask one thing at a time, and are specific; the sample must represent the target market.
  3. 3Target-market characteristics: demographic, geographic, socio-economic, psychographic.
  4. 4Buyers = % who would buy × population; Sales = buyers × purchases per buyer.
  5. 5Survey answers overstate real demand, so adjust estimates down and confirm with a test sale.

The Tech Help Desk won the decision matrix, but the team's demand rating of 3 out of 5 was just a guess. Before spending money, they need evidence. Marketing research is the process of collecting and analysing information to answer a business question, here: "Will enough students and staff pay for phone and laptop help to make this worthwhile?" Research costs a little time now and can save a lot of money later.

Primary and secondary research

Primary researchSecondary researchWhat it isNew data you collect yourself for thisexact questionData someone else already collectedfor another purposeMethodsSurveys, interviews, focus groups,observation, experimentsReports, databases, articles,websites, the company's own salesrecordsCostHigher: you pay to design and run itLower: often free or inexpensiveTimeSlower to gather and analyzeFast to findExamplesourcesA questionnaire given to 100 studentsat your schoolStatistics Canada census data,industry reports, past sales recordsWatch out forSmall samples; poorly worded questionsMay be out of date or not quite fityour questionQualitative dataWords and opinions that explain why and how.e.g. focus groups, open-ended interviews.Quantitative dataNumbers that answer how many or how much andcan be graphed. e.g. rating-scale surveys,sales figures.
Fig 1Secondary research uses data someone else collected; primary research collects new data for your question.
APrimary research (you collect it)
  • Surveys: written or online questions to many people
  • Observation: watching and counting what people actually do
  • Interviews: one-on-one conversations with detailed follow-up questions
  • Focus groups: a small group of 6 to 10 people discussing the idea together
  • Test sales: actually selling a small amount to see who buys
  • Specific to your question, but takes time to collect
BSecondary research (someone else collected it)
  • Statistics Canada: census data on population, age, income and households
  • Municipal data from city hall: local population, zoning and business licence rules
  • Local chamber of commerce: information on local businesses and the business climate
  • School board: enrolment numbers for each school
  • Industry reports: sales trends in a particular industry
  • Fast and often free, but may be general or out of date
Start secondary, finish primary
Researchers usually start with secondary research because it is quick and cheap, for example looking up how many students attend the school. Then they use primary research to answer the questions secondary data cannot, such as whether those students would pay for the service.
VideoListen for the strengths and weaknesses of each type of research and why most ventures start with secondary research.Watch on YouTube

Writing a survey that tells the truth

A survey is only as good as its questions and its sample. A biased question pushes people toward an answer. A sample is the group of people you actually survey; it should represent the whole target market. Surveying only your friends gives a biased sample, because friends like you and tend to say yes.

Biased or weak questionProblemBetter question
Wouldn't it be great to have cheap tech help at school?Leading: it suggests the answer is yesIf a phone and laptop help service were available at lunch, how likely would you be to use it? (very likely / somewhat likely / unlikely)
Do you like tech and want help with it?Double-barrelled: asks two things at onceIn the past three months, have you had a phone or laptop problem you could not fix yourself?
How much would you pay?Open-ended price questions get unrealistic answersWould you pay $5 for a 15-minute help session? (yes / no)
Do you use tech a lot?Vague: "a lot" means different things to different peopleAbout how many hours a day do you use a laptop for schoolwork?
Good survey questions are neutral, ask one thing, and are specific.
VideoSee how small changes in the wording of a question change the answers people give, which is why survey questions must be neutral.Watch on YouTube

Describing the target market

A target market is the specific group of customers a business aims to serve. Research describes the target market in four layers, and secondary sources help with each one.

Segmentation bases narrow a total market down to a target market and a nicheTotal marketall athletic-wear buyersTarget marketteens who play sportsNicheteen girls'hockey gearDemographicWho are they?age, gender, income, educatione.g. teens aged 13–18GeographicWhere are they?region, city, rural or urbane.g. one Ontario cityPsychographicand socio-economiclifestyle, values, social classe.g. active, competitive teensBehaviouralHow do they buy and use it?usage rate, loyalty, benefitse.g. buy new gear every season
Fig 2Four layers describe a target market: demographic, geographic, socio-economic and psychographic.
CharacteristicWhat it describesTech Help Desk exampleUseful source
DemographicAge, gender, family size, cultural backgroundStudents aged 14 to 18 and school staffSchool board enrolment data, Statistics Canada census
GeographicWhere customers live, work or studyPeople in our school buildingSchool board, city hall
Socio-economicIncome, education, occupationStudents with part-time jobs; staff with salariesStatistics Canada income data for the area
PsychographicLifestyle, values, interests, attitudesPeople who rely on devices but are short on time or confidenceYour own survey and interviews
Describing the Tech Help Desk's target market, with sources for each layer.
Four ways to divide a market into segmentsDemographicWho are they?Agee.g. 13–17, 18–24, 25–34, 65+Incomee.g. low, middle, or high household incomeFamily life stagee.g. single, young family, empty nesterGeographicWhere are they?Regione.g. Atlantic, Quebec, Ontario, Prairies, B.C.Population densitye.g. urban, suburban, ruralClimatee.g. snowy winters vs. a mild coastPsychographicHow do they live and think?Lifestylee.g. outdoorsy, homebody, gamerValuese.g. eco-friendly, thrifty, status-seekingPersonalitye.g. adventurous, cautious, socialBehaviouralHow do they act toward the product?Usage ratee.g. heavy, medium, light, non-userBenefits soughte.g. low price, convenience, quality, statusBrand loyaltye.g. loyal, brand switcher, first-time buyer
Fig 3The same bases are used to segment any market into groups.

Estimating demand from a survey

Once you have survey results, you can estimate how many sales to expect. Find the percentage of your sample who would buy, apply it to the whole target population, then multiply by how often each buyer purchases.

People overstate what they will buy
Saying yes on a survey costs nothing, so the number who actually buy is usually lower. A cautious planner reduces the survey estimate, for example by assuming only half of the yes answers turn into buyers, and then checks the guess with a small test sale.

Worked examples

Reveal one step at a time and try to beat it to the next line.

Example 1
The Tech Help Desk team surveys 150 of the school's 1,200 students, chosen from different grades and classes. 45 say they would very likely pay $5 for a help session, and those students expect to need about 2 sessions per semester. Estimate the number of buyers and sessions per semester.
Example 2
Adjust the estimate above cautiously by assuming only half of the students who said yes will actually buy. Then compare with what the team can deliver: 4 helpers, each able to run 3 sessions per lunch, on 60 school days in the semester.
Example 3
Choose a research method for each question: (a) How many students attend our school? (b) Do students walk past the library at lunch where we would set up? (c) Will students actually pay $5? (d) What worries do staff have about letting students handle their laptops?

Where marks get lost

  • Surveying only friends or one class. The sample must represent the whole target market or the results will be biased.
  • Writing leading questions such as "Wouldn't it be great if...?" that push people to say yes.
  • Taking survey percentages as guaranteed sales. People overstate what they will buy, so adjust down and run a test sale.
  • Forgetting to multiply by purchases per buyer, which confuses the number of customers with the number of sales.
  • Mixing up primary and secondary research: Statistics Canada data is secondary even if you looked it up yourself, because someone else collected it.

Flashcards 8

Marketing research
Primary research
Secondary research
Sample
+ 4 more

Practice

1
Which is an example of secondary research?
2
Which survey question is the least biased?
3
Match each target-market characteristic to an example.
Demographic
Geographic
Socio-economic
Psychographic
4
A survey of 80 students finds that 20 would buy a $3 granola bar. The school has 900 students. Estimate the number of buyers in the school.
buyers
5
Continuing the question above, each buyer expects to buy 3 granola bars per month. Estimate monthly sales revenue at $3 per bar, to the nearest dollar.
$
6
A team estimates 400 buyers from a survey but cautiously assumes only half will actually buy, each buying once. How many sales should they plan for?
sales
7
Why is a test sale often the strongest evidence of demand?
8
What type of primary research involves a small group of people discussing a product idea together?
9
Where would you most likely find the number of students enrolled at each high school in your area?

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